Expected Value in Sports Betting
Expected value is the average result of a bet repeated forever. It is the only number that separates a good bet from a bet that happened to win.
6 min read
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Every BestSlip article tagged Implied Probability — 4 guides covering how it works, how the maths is done and which tools apply.
Expected value is the average result of a bet repeated forever. It is the only number that separates a good bet from a bet that happened to win.
6 min read
A posted price is two things at once: the sportsbook's estimate of a probability, and its charge for taking the bet. Separating them is the single most useful calculation in betting.
Updated 5 min read
-110, 1.91 and 10/11 are the same number in three notations. Here is how to move between them without a calculator, and why professionals tend to think in decimal.
Updated 4 min read
The plus and minus signs are not difficulty ratings. They are two different arithmetic instructions, and once you know which is which, every price on the board reads the same way.
Updated 5 min read